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McCain's campagn has come out with this new ad in order to highlight Obama's alleged arrogance, and sarcastically jab at his popularity and bombast as the root of a potential Messiah complex.
For McCain to do this would take advantage of early data that suggests that Obama's displaying presidential qualities this early on in the game causes some to percieve him as elitist/arrogant and would therefore energize them to support McCain, despite the fact that they might otherwise stay home. I'll post that data when I have time to find it.
But I'm not sure it's effective. John McCain's name appears at the end of it, but since it is not televised, McCain does not have to endorse this wholly sarcastic web ad himself. Still, take a look at each of the claims:
"A nation healed, a world repaired."
"We are the ones we've been waiting for."
"I have become a symbol of America returning to its finest traditions."
Obama has no doubts.
"A light will shine down from somewhere...you will recieve an epiphany...I have to vote for Barack!"
Something about the planet healing.
Then a clip from The 10 Commandments urging to "behold His mighty hand..."
And then it asks if this person "is ready to lead?"
Well, why the hell not? It's sarcastic, but what about it suggests that Obama isn't ready to lead, even if he is jumping the gun? Looking at the list, and then asking if Obama is ready to lead, makes me consider the converse of these things. So McCain stands for "a nation wounded, a world in disrepair?" Top-down politics? America not returning to its finest traditions?
Maybe that's why McCain doesn't allow his face in there. While this may help the short game, it is probably not a good idea for a Republican challenger who is trying to urge change in a different direction to confound proactive politics with arrogance. That will paint McCain into a sharp contrast with Obama, which would put him in league with an unpopular status quo.
This is for House members, which your typical Joe Pollsample might not know too much about. Upon a quick glance, it looks like independents prefer democrats but with high variance, and those with liberal sensibilities are stronger in their convictions. The Democrats seem to be winning in every income bracket, but can easily be taken once you pass the $50,000 mark. Expectedly, you become more conservative as you leave a city; you get more undecided as you get older; and more liberal with youth.
I'm surprised by these numbers. I glean that there are plenty of conservatives out there who just aren't George Bush conservatives. I will be interested to see how the number of undecideds changes with time, and how their motivations evolve as we enter the conventions and the debates.
